Hi guys, sorry this is not going to be a detailed overview, I’m a bit time poor at the moment! So time for a quick wrap of up round 2.
This round we got 5 of 8 correct for an accuracy of 62.5%.
Tips and if they were correct:
- Penrith Panthers to win against Canterbury Bulldogs while Home
- (correct? N)
- Brisbane Broncos to win against New Zealand Warriors while Home
- (correct? Y)
- Canberra Raiders to win against Sydney Roosters while Home
- (correct? Y)
- South Sydney Rabbitohs to win against Newcastle Knights while Home
- (correct? Y)
- North Queensland Cowboys to win against Parramatta Eels while Away
- (correct? N)
- Cronulla Sharks to win against St George Illawarra Dragons while Home
- (correct? Y)
- Melbourne Storm to win against Gold Coast Titans while Home
- (correct? Y)
- Manly Sea Eagles to win against Wests Tigers while Away
- (correct? N)
To date this gives us a rolling accuracy of 68.8%
In round 2 of 2015, the model also got an accuracy of 62.5% so we are about in line with historic results.
For those observant I actually input old odds data into the round 2 detailed table and haven’t had a chance to retrospectively updated the post. As indicated before I have been improving the model iteratively and my latest model actually would have achieved a 7/8 result on this round! Unfortunately I couldn’t post before most of you would have put in your tips, but its nice to know the model is getting better (hopefully it will be raring to go for staking rounds!!).
I am working on trying to get a more standardised and automated layout for posting results and tips so please bear with me until I get this right!