Hi guys, this is a super quick post, I haven’t had any time to properly compile results to date or even look at the bookmakers odds for round 5 games so I have no idea if my predictions are in agreement with bookmakers or not. I will update when I get a chance.
Here are the round 5 predictions:
- Manly Sea Eagles to win against South Sydney Rabbitohs while Home
- Brisbane Broncos to win against Gold Coast Titans while Away
- Melbourne Storm to win against Newcastle Knights while Home
- Wests Tigers to win against Cronulla Sharks while Home
- North Queensland Cowboys to win against St George Illawarra Dragons while Home
- Sydney Roosters to win against New Zealand Warriors while Home
- Parramatta Eels to win against Penrith Panthers while Home
- Canterbury Bulldogs to win against Canberra Raiders while Home
And quick table of perceived probabilities:
| game_no | team_descr | team_against_descr | perceived_prob | perceived_odds |
| 1 | Manly Sea Eagles | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 0.584 | 1.713 |
| 2 | Brisbane Broncos | Gold Coast Titans | 0.511 | 1.959 |
| 3 | Melbourne Storm | Newcastle Knights | 0.775 | 1.290 |
| 4 | Wests Tigers | Cronulla Sharks | 0.640 | 1.562 |
| 5 | North Queensland Cowboys | St George Illawarra Dragons | 0.600 | 1.668 |
| 6 | Sydney Roosters | New Zealand Warriors | 0.632 | 1.581 |
| 7 | Parramatta Eels | Penrith Panthers | 0.542 | 1.845 |
| 8 | Canterbury Bulldogs | Canberra Raiders | 0.707 | 1.415 |